Will Reilly previews Saturday’s early kick-off in the Premier League, Everton v Liverpool
Preview by Will Reilly
The new season off to a winning start with the main recommendation of Everton (+2) coming up at 7/10 in last Saturday’s Merseyside derby. The stats strongly suggested that a draw was likely (the game ended 0-0) and, as you may be aware, these previews are very much stats-based.
Here are some key stats then on Man City v Tottenham, with some bet recommendations at the end of the piece.
OVERVIEW:
Ahead of the weekend’s games being played, this is second versus third in the Premier League table, with the reigning champions taking on a Spurs side rejuvenated since the arrival of head coach Antonio Conte.
It’s a chance for Spurs to lay down a marker for the season, with a key question being can they contain the prolific Erling Haaland? In Harry Kane, they have a top-class striker of their own.
These are the only two sides in the Premier League that have yet to lose a match this season. It is a great way to bring down the curtain on Saturday’s Premier League matches.
Bar One Racing markets for Man City v Tottenham can be found by clicking on this link
FORM:
Man City
- It’s four wins and two draws from their six league matches so far this season for City, with three clean sheets and 20 goals scored, ten of them by Erling Haaland.
- In fact, City have lost just one of their last 34 league games, which, as things would have it, was a 3-2 home defeat by Spurs in February.
- City have kept 18 clean sheets in the 34 games referred to above. In 16 of those games they have scored 3-or-more goals.
- They have won their last seven seven league games and 14 of their last 16 when playing at home.
- They have scored in their last 17 home league games.
- Erling Haaland has exploded onto the Premier League scene with 10 goals in his first six starts.
Tottenham
- Like City, it’s four wins and two draws this season in the league for Spurs, with 12 goals scored but just two clean sheets.
- Spurs are unbeaten in their last 12 league games and have lost just two of their last 19 games in all competitions, scoring in 17 of them and keeping a clean sheet in nine.
- They have scored three-or-more goals in eight of their last 19 league games, but in only one when on the road (v Aston Villa, 0-4, April).
- However, Tottenham beat City 3-2 at the Etihad last season and also won at home against them (1-0).
LEAGUE HEAD-TO-HEADS AT THE ETIHAD STADIUM
- This century Tottenham have a good record when visiting City in the league, winning nine of the 21 encounters and losing eight.
- Tottenham have scored in 16 of the 21 matches, as have City, and have scored two-or-more goals in four of the last seven.
- City have scored two-or-more goals in nine of the last eleven home league games they’ve played against Spurs.
- You have to go back to September 2003 to find the last time this fixture ended 0-0. In eleven of the last 16, both sides have scored.
- İlkay Gündoğan has scored four goals in his last five starts in this fixture (when City have been at home).
- Harry Kane has scored three goals in his last six starts in this fixture (when City have been at home).
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TEAM NEWS:
Man City
Absent through injury will be Aymeric Laporte, John Stones and Kyle Walker.
Tottenham
Lucas Moura (calf) will be missing for Spurs.
VERDICT / TIPS:
- The stats suggest that the match will not be drawn.
- Much as Tottenham have a good record in this fixture (see Head To Heads), City have dominated in recent years, winning eight of the last 12. For me, that points to a City win.
- In terms of goals-scorers, İlkay Gündoğan and Harry Kane have to be uppermost in your thoughts, as does Erling Haaland, who, as mentioned above, has exploded onto the Premier League scene.
Selections:
- Man City to win, although 2/5 is a little short. City to win and both teams to score looks better value at 8/5. I expect City to score at least twice.
- As it’s a DOUBLE THE ODDS on FIRST GOALSCORER BETS match with us (see pic below), you have to look at İlkay Gündoğan (8/1 to score first, 5/2 to score anytime), Erling Haaland (11/5 to score first, 1/2 anytime) and Harry Kane (13/2 and 21/10).
- Over 2.5 goals in the game look good but, at 2/5, might be a little short for some tastes.
- If you’re feeling ambitious, Gündoğan to score first with City to win 2-1 is 40/1.
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