We head north to Ayr racecourse for the Scottish Grand National. I am going to take a look at some of the stats and trends ahead of the race and pick out two selections that could go well at each way prices.
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• 17/17 Ran within the last 57 days
• 15/17 8 years of age or older
• 12/16 Carried 10-9 or less
• 14/16 Finished in the top 6 places in their most recent race.
The two horses that fit nicely into the stats are THE FERRY MASTER and CHAPEL STILE.
I will make a case for each horse and hopefully we can nab a place or even a little better.
THE FERRY MASTER—— TRAINER SANDY THOMSON—– JOCKEY SEAN QUINLAN 16-1
This horse is very unexposed with this race being his fifth over fences but he has proved to be a natural over larger obstacles and could surprise quite a few here.
When you watch this horse one of his main assets is his jumping and he spends very little time in the air. This stamina test is somewhat of an unknown but he has some very solid point to point form and I think he could improve for the distance.
His last three runs should set him up nicely for a tilt at a decent point. He was victorious in two of them around Kelso and Newcastle where he galloped all the way through the line. He finished 4th last time out at Haydock when it looked like he may have needed the run coming back off a break.
The last time this race was run in 2019 jockey Sean Quinlan was victorious aboard the Nicky Richards trained Takinrisks so to have a good jockey that knows what it takes to win the race is even more of an advantage.
He looks a solid each way price and hopefully with luck in running he will be hard to keep out of the frame.
CHAPEL STILE——TRAINER NICKY RICHARDS—– JOCKEY RYAN DAY 18-1
As I already mentioned the winner of this race in 2019 was Takinrisks trained by Nicky Richards and my second selection will be his stablemate Chapel Stile.
Ryan Day has built up a good partnership with this horse and while his last two victories have come at Carlisle he has won over hurdles around Ayr.
Taking the stamina into the equation I am of the opinion that any horse that can get their head in front around Carlisle then they have stamina in abundance as it is quite a climb up the home straight.
This horse doesn’t look ground dependant as he won last time on heavy ground and his hurdle victory at Ayr came on good ground.
Chapel Stile is a half brother to the very smart Rathvinden who was trained by Willie Mullins to win the 4 Miler at the Cheltenham Festival and then finish third in the Grand National behind Tiger Roll. That would make him of even more interest with a stamina laden pedigree.
Much like The Ferry Master he will need to get plenty of luck in running but he could be the horse staying on best when the others have cried enough.
Solid each way chance.