Bundesliga Previews for Wednesday May 27th
By Will Reilly
Incredibly, 12 of the 22 matches played since the Bundesliga resumption have been won by the away side. Will the ‘behind closed doors’ effect continue tonight?
RB Leipzig v Hertha Berlin, 5:30pm, Wednesday
3rd v 11th
Leipzig – 5 wins, 4 draws in last nine matches all comps and, after a disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Freiburg on May 16th, returned to form with a 5-0 demolition of Mainz, in Mainz, on Sunday, with Timo Werner getting a hat-trick. He now has scored 9 goals in his last 12 Bundesliga starts
Hertha Berlin have won both of their matches since the restart, 0-3 and 4-0. Matheus Cunha has scored in each of their last four league matches and Ibisevic has scored in each of their matches following the resumption.
They are in good heart and this could be a very good game.
Goals look to be the order of the night so look at the goals markets and see what appeals. Over 3.5 goals at 20/21 catches my eye.
Augsburg v Paderborn, 7:30pm, Wednesday
12th v the bottom side (18th)
Augsburg won 3-0 in Schalke on Sunday, ending a run of six games without a win, five of which they lost.
That was their first clean sheet in 11 matches and was the first time that Heiko Herrlich had taken charge of the team. They will, naturally enough, be keen to follow up.
They have conceded 54 goals in 27 league games this season.
Paderborn – three draws and five losses in their last eight Bundesliga matches, although they have scored in 12 of their last 15 league matches and Denis Srbeny has scored five in his last nine starts
Both teams To Score at 4/6 might be the way to go here.
Augsburg to win at 10/11 is not a bad price
Dusseldorf v Schalke, 7:30pm, Wednesday
16th v 8th
Dusseldorf have drawn their last four matches and let slip a 2-0 lead on Sunday.
They have won just two of their last 17 league matches, although they have scored in seven of their last eight league games.
Dusseldorf are away to Bayern Munich in their next game, a game they are expected to lose, so this game takes on extra significance.
Schalke have failed to score in their last 5 away games in the league, conceding 12. They are without a win in 12 matches (all comps). They have lost 4-0 and 3-0 since the resumption and have failed to score in six of their last seven matches.
Schalke have it a rocky spell so Dusseldorf at 8/5 at home may represent some value although it’s not a game I’ll be getting involved in. Dusseldorf are getting used to drawing, which is on offer at 9/4
Hoffenheim v Cologne, Wednesday 7:30pm
9th v 10th, 2 points between them
Hoffenheim – three draws, four losses in their last seven league games.
They won four of five league games between Dec 2019 and Feb 2020, but that seems a long time ago now.
They have dried up a little in front of goal – just three goals in their last five league matches – but they have scored in 18 of their last 21 league matches.
Cologne let slip a 2-0 lead against Mainz on May 17 and got two late goals to earn a draw at home with Dusseldorf on Sunday.
Scoring goals is not their problem – Jhon Cordoba (7 in his last 9 appearances) and Mark Uth (5 in his last 8 and he missed a penalty on Sunday) – and they have now won eight of their last 13 league matches, losing just three.
They have scored in each of their last 13 league matches.
Look at the goals markets – Cologne and over 2.5 goals is 21/10. Cordoba has to be looked at as a first or anytime scorer at 11/2 and 8/5, respectively
Union Berlin v Mainz, Wednesday 7:30pm
13th v 15th – 3 points between them
Union Berlin have returned poorly from the break, losing 0-2 (admittedly, to Bayern Munich) and 4-0 in the Berlin derby.
They have only drawn three games all season. They have won just one of their last six league matches, and three of their last 13.
Sebastian Andersson had scored in three-successive matches before the break came. They need him to find some form again.
Mainz drew 2-2 in Cologne and then, on Sunday, lost 5-0 at home to Leipzig.
They have drawn just three matches all season, all of them coming in their last six games, only one of which they have won.
They have failed to score in four of their last six league matches, although they showed spirit in coming back to draw 2-2 on Cologne.
Seven different players have scored their last nine goals.
One of the trickier games to call. Maybe the draw at 12/5 is the value. Sebastian Andersson is worth looking at as a goal-scoring option. He’s 9/2 to score first and 7/5 anytime.
All prices correct in the piece as at 8:20pm on Tuesday May 26th