LEOPARDSTOWN CHAMPIONS DAY PREVIEW SATURDAY 14TH SEPTEMBER 2019
1.55 7f Ballylinch Stud Irish EBF Ingabelle Stakes (Listed Race) (Fillies) (Inner Track) (2yo)
NURSE BARBARA won very nicely in Cork on her debut and with normal improvement she should be going close in a race of this race. Owner David Spratt has had a very good season especially as Mustajeer won the Ebor at York in his colours before heading to Australia. Not many of the fillies behind her that day in Cork have run or even won since so the form is there to be questioned. She heads the market but looks the value selection and should punters a solid run for their money.
2.30 1m5f (1m4f180y) Irish Stallion Farms EBF “Petingo” Handicap (Premier Handicap) (Inner Track) (3yo+)
ONE COOL POET takes his place here after his history making week in Galway and this race could play right into this hands with a very strong pace likely to happen. Effernock Fizz likes to set the fractions early and One Cool Poet could be switched off out the back and come through late with a winning run. He will have to be delivered as late as possible and I could see Billy Lee holding onto him for as long as he can. He has gone up a total of 24lb since Galway but with a race run to suit I can see another bit of improvement to come. He is a very consistent animal who always runs to his mark. The question is whether the handicapper has got him in his grasp?? He will be a hard horse to keep out of the frame with the right pace up front.
3.05 1m KPMG Champions Juvenile Stakes (Group 2) (Inner Track) (2yo)
Mogul is the talking horse from the crop of two year olds that Coolmore have run recently and he should enchance his reputation here. In terms of a betting point of view he is very short in the market. The value may lie in the betting without market. CORMORANT who is a stablemate of Mogul put his experience to good use when he got back up to beat Agitare last time out over course and distance. The big thing for me is that he showed plenty of guts to battle and get back up as he had been passed. If the favourite has an off day he could be the one to pick up the pieces. Small each way selection and check the betting without market. With improvement to come he could go close.
3.40 1m4f Stakes (Group 3) (Inner Track) (3yo+)
Jessica Harrington has her flat team in flying form and could have another day in the sun here with LEO DE FURY. He was very impressive in winning his first two races of his career at the Curragh and Navan respectively. He then went to Goodwood for the Qatar Gordon Stakes and for whatever reason he ran very flat and finished down the field. He returned to form when second to Buckhurst last time out at the Curragh and has a solid chance here to overturn the form. The long home straight could really play to his strengths here but whether the step back in trip could cause the issue that is what we will find out later this afternoon. He is the value play in the race at the prices.
4.15 1m2f QIPCO Irish Champion Stakes (Group 1) (Outer Track) (3yo+)
The feature race of the day and it is full of equine superstars and should give us a cracking spectacle before we head to the Curragh for day two. The market for this race has fluctuated so much in recent weeks and there is plenty of value to be had. MADHMOON is a horse who has given Kevin Prendergast plenty of good days in the winner’s enclosure and he has a massive chance here to give him another one. He ran an absolute cracker to finish second to Anthony Van Dyck in the Epsom Derby and if he runs anywhere close to that form over the shorter trip he will take a lot of beating. He had a confidence booster when winning the Group Three Desmond Stakes over course and distance and his course form has been very solid indeed. He has run four times at Leopardstown, he has won three times and was second on the other occasion. Very strong chance.
4.50 1m Clipper Logistics Boomerang Stakes (Group 2) (Outer Track) (3yo+)
As many of you are aware from following my Listowel Previews earlier in the week I was waxing lyrical about how good LANCASTER HOUSE was going to be and he stood out with the manner of his victory down in the Kingdom. He steps up in grade again here and as I mentioned earlier in the week, the O Brien team have been very patient with this horse and this looks the ideal step up to see how good he actually is. He is the horse with the most potential to improve in the race and to me he will look value at whatever price he is chalked up at throughout the day. I believe he is a Group One horse who will prove his worth later this season or early next season but this race looks the ideal progression. It will take a superstar to beat him and I can’t seen any of the opposition worrying him here. The only slight negative would be whether the race will come too soon but the manner of the Listowel victory would suggest not.
5.25 1m Coolmore “Fastnet Rock” Matron Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies & Mares) (Outer Track) (3yo+)
The feature for Fillies and Mares now and one of my favourite fillies has her second run of the season here. SKITTER SCATTER was a revelation for the small team of PJ Prendergast last season and ran a lifeless race in the 1000 Guinneas at Newmarket where it was subsequently found she was injured. She came back with a very respectable run at Tipperary when second to Waitingontheday trained by Joseph O Brien. She led briefly inside the final furlong and race fitness just caught her out. She goes back up in grade here and even though she is a double figure price she could give them plenty to think about. She looks the forgotten filly in this race and I think you can ignore her at your peril.
6.00 7f Irish Stallion Farms EBF “Sovereign Path” Handicap (Premier Handicap) (Outer Track) (3yo+)
A very competitive handicap to finish Day One of Champions Weekend and it looks an absolute minefield to try and find the winner. We will do our best!! Niall Mc Cullagh gave Getaway Katie Mai a cracking ride earlier in the week for us when she was successful at Listowel and he could give us another winner here aboard ICE COLD IN ALEX. This horse has been very consistent in handicap of late. The handicapper has only raised him 4lb in his five runs and this hold up performer will get his day in the sun eventually. Leopardstown is the sort of track that you need plenty of luck in running. This horse is drawn wide here and even though that could be a slight negative. Niall Mc Cullagh might be able to turn it into a positive and swoop wide late and get up close home. Solid each way value here.