Burnley v Liverpool
Premier League, Sat 24th August, KO 5:30pm
Preview by Will Reilly
One win, one draw and one defeat in the league this season have put Burnley into sixth spot in the Premier League table ahead of the weekend. Ashley Barnes has scored in each of those games, scoring four in total, and he also scored in their last match last season.
Liverpool are top of the Premier League table and the only side with a 100% record after three matches of the new campaign. They have so far scored nine goals and three conceded, although they have yet to keep a clean sheet.
In their 19 home matches in the Premier League last season, they won seven, lost ten and drew just two. They scored in 16 of those games but scored more than one goal in only six of them.
Both teams scored in eleven of the 19 games, there were over 2.5 goals scored in eleven of them and over 3.5 goals in seven of them.
Burnley and Liverpool have met ten times in the league this century, with Liverpool winning eight of them. Their record at Burnley in those ten games is played 5, won 3, drawn 1, lost 1. In just two of the five did both teams score.
It’s again worth repeating that Liverpool won 14 of their last 15 games last season in all competitions and 18 of their last 24 (drawing five).
They lost just one Premier League game all season (2-1 at Man City on Jan 3rd), winning 30 of their 38 matches. They won their last seven home league matches, scoring 23 goals and keeping five clean sheets.
This season, they have beaten Norwich 4-1 and Arsenal 3-1 at Anfield, and won 2-1 at Southampton, a good effort given that they had travelled to Istanbul three days earlier for a Super Cup match played in extreme heat – which they eventually won against Chelsea on penalties.
As mentioned earlier, Liverpool are the only Premier League side with a 100% record this season. They beat Burnley 3-1 in the corresponding fixture last year. In that game, Roberto Firmino, Mo Salah and Sadio Mané were not in Jürgen Klopp’s starting line-up. That’s not going to happen this time.
Jóhann Berg Guðmundsson hobbled off against Wolves last week but is expected to be available for selection. Robbie Brady (ribs) is available again but lacks match fitness. Steven Defour (calf) is a long-term absentee.
Alisson Becker (calf) is still sidelined, as is Naby Keita, who picked up a muscle injury recently in training. Nathaniel Clyne (knee) misses out again.
VERDICT / TIPS:
All roads lead to a Liverpool win (1/3), with 2-0 (11/2) or 3-1 (10/1) feeling like possible scores. Mo Salah has started the season well – three in three league games – and is 17/20 to score at any time in the match, which is pretty skinny, for sure, but reflects the danger he undoubtedly represents.