Galway Pointers: Day One, Monday July 29th

Willie Mullins could get off to a flying start at this year's Galway Festival

Will Reilly looks for clues to Galway winners at as the Festival begins

Will Reilly offers some pointers for today’s meeting at Galway as the seven-day Festival begins

 

Our Galway prices on today’s – Monday’s – action can be found here

 

5:20pm –

Willie Mullins has won this race four times in the last five years. He runs Authorized Art and he should go close.

Price as at 12:40pm, Monday – 5/4

 

5:55pm –

This race has been run five times and the favourite has yet to win. The SPs of the winners have been 10/1, 20/1, 14/1, 7/1 and 12/1.

Trainer Denis Hogan won the race last year and runs (and rides) Morning Skye today, who will be racing in blinkers for the first time, who could reward an each-way play.

Price as at 12:40pm, Monday – 11/1

WE ARE PAYING EACH-WAY 1/5 THE ODDS ON 5 PLACES IN THIS RACE

 

 

6:25pm –

A two-year-old maiden race that which has been won six times in the last ten years by trainer Dermot Weld, who runs Shekhem today.

Aidan O’Brien has won two of the last nine stagings of the race and runs the hot favourite, Innisfree.

Innisfree is the one to beat.

Price as at 12:40pm, Monday – 1/2

 

Aidan O’Brien holds a very good chance with his only runner at Galway on Monday

 

7:05pm –

Last year produced the first winning favourite in this race in the last ten years, although six of the last ten winners have had SPs of 10/1 or shorter.

Gary Halpin has ridden two of the last three winners, although he is on an outsider, Evasive Power, today.

With her horses in such good form, Jessica Harrington’s Calling Time (13/2) and Pepperoni Pete (25/1, first run for stable and races in first-time headgear) could go well.

WE ARE PAYING EACH-WAY 1/5 THE ODDS ON 4 PLACES IN THIS RACE

 

7:40pm –

The big race of the night. Willie Mullins has three of the first five horses in the betting and has won it for the last two years, with 12/1 and 16/1 chances.

There has been just one winning favourite in the last ten years – Tony Martin’s Quick Jack, 4/1fav, in 2014.

Three of the last six winners had ab SP of 16/1.

Verdict: Willie Mullins to win with a horse that isn’t favourite, so I’ll go with Royal Illusion, who will carry 10st11lb and only one of the last nine winners carried more than 10st13lb to victory.

Price as at 12:40pm, Monday – 10/1

WE ARE PAYING EACH-WAY 1/5 THE ODDS ON 5 PLACES IN THIS RACE

 

The Connacht Hotel is onto a winner with its ongoing big-race sponsorhsip at Galway

 

8:10pm –

Three of the last four runnings have been won by the favourite and only one of the last eight winners was returned at bigger than 6/1. This reduces the shortlist to Joseph O’Brien’s Millswyn (first-time blinkers today), Jim Bolger’s Halimi, Jessica Harrington’s Building Bridges and Noel Meade’s Red Gerry (who will race in a first-time tongue-tie), although it’s a pretty tight betting heat.

With her stable in such good form, Jessica Harrington’s Burning Bridges is selected.

Price as at 12:40pm, Monday – 4/1

 

8:40pm –

Just one winning-favourite in the last seven, but three in the last nine, and none of the last ten winners has been returned at bigger than 10/1, which reduces the shortlist to four horses (at the time of writing) – Risk Factor, Think Positive, Russian Diamond and Judex Lefou

Racing in a first-time hood, I’ll side with the Willie Mullins-trained Think Positive. Willie has won this race twice in the last five years.

Price as at 12:40pm, Monday – 3/1



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*Odds were correct at time of publishing the article