Kante to score
N’Golo Kante was signed for £32 million by Chelsea after Leicester’s astounding title winning season in 2015/16. Kante was the rock in defensive midfield. This year his new manager Sarri has allowed the 2016/17 player of the year to play a more attacking role.
The €55,000 yearling Kante ran an eye-catching debut here a month ago for Eddie Lynam and Oisir Orr.
The 3 year old Dawn Approach colt was very slowly away, giving the leaders 5 or 6 lengths of a start after a furlong. Before the bend however he latched onto the back of the main bunch and travelled well. The well bred colt made nice ground off the home turn and in the straight under a hands and heels ride. In the end, Kante was beaten 6 lengths by Numerian, a subsequent 2nd off 83 in a handicap and winner of a conditions race. The 6 lengths were primarily lost by a shoddy start.
Eddie Lynam’s often improve for the run and Kante looks a prime candidate. Though drawn in stall 14 (not as bad over a mile, not ideal either), I can see him bouncing smarter and positioned more forward like his namesake and given every chance to score. He is tongue tied for the first time. This doesn’t look too difficult a maiden and Kante looks a fair each way price in the 5.30pm.
Snow Patch is the selection in the opener on the card at 5.00pm. She has to be forgiven a bad run here four weeks ago but that was over 6 furlongs and she was eased when beaten.
Back to 5 furlongs tonight, the Darren Bunyan trained filly should be far more comfortable. She was twice a good second on her penultimate runs to a 9 pounds lower Danz Gift and also bumping into the well handicapped Ken’s Sam’s and Lapilli, splitting the pair.
I’m not sure there is much pace in this sprint early, Mr Shelby and Burren View Lady on her inside might have targets in the future and stall 12 shouldn’t be as much of an inconvenience as first thought. Snow Patch doesn’t win enough but has recent 5 furlong form to suggest she’s over-priced to hit the frame.
The dangers include Your Pal Tal who ran well recently at Newcastle and has won off much higher marks in the past. Stablemate Tai Sing Yeh if getting in as reserve, 5f may be too sharp but has been dropped 7 pounds for finishing fifth last time out, though beaten 9 lengths, the winner won 8 so it wasn’t too bad a performance.
The market will be a good indicator for Blast of Magic who’s over 200 days off the track but is capable off this mark, a real sprinter. Hedonism could be an obvious improver for the incomparable Joseph O’Brien yard and Lapilli despite going up 10 pounds for winning a fortnight ago, he bolted up and is respected though down a furlong. Lapilli’s performance may give a good guide to Lily’s Prince later on in the card.
Lap it Up
Lappet was a good third before Christmas to The Game of Life and May Peace Prevail in a maiden yet runs off a modest mark of 61 in the 6.30pm. The 4 year old filly got a 5 pound raise for that but it looks justified as a minimum.
The Game of Life has since won a handicap off 81 and the 2nd is well thought of and runs in a maiden later on this evening in the 8pm. Before her maiden run Lappet was a decent third in her first handicap over a mile so the maiden run doesn’t look a flash in the pan. Ross Coakley takes off a valuable 3 pounds and she is boxed perfectly in stall 3.
While it is a competitive handicap, Lappet could be unexposed.
Bear with me. This huge priced selection isn’t as mad as you might think. The 8 year old gelding has won twice here on the flat over 10 furlongs. A good winner of a maiden, he was given a rating of 83 after and won his first handicap off that mark, running well up in the high eighties for a time after. Now rated 67 and a pound out of the handicap, he has largely lost his way.
But a few reasons why he may be too big a price; course form and past ability, he did win a handicap hurdle in 2018 and his run last week. Beaten 28 lengths doesn’t tell the full story.
Lusis Naturea went a mad gallop in front over 2 miles and off nearly level weights with some of his rivals who re-oppose tonight and led until the 2 furlong pole where he fell in a hole. Tonight is a mile and a half, he gets a stone and a half off the likes of Chess Grand Master and still claims 7 to offset being wrong at the weights.
Fitness can no longer be an issue after last week’s blowout and he looks value to outrun his odds in the 7.30pm.
Moonmeister is respected with a brilliant 5 wins from 11 starts on the all-weather. But Tony Martin’s 8 year old is a while off the track so the market may tell the tale. Moonmeister’s last win was in June 2017 off 12 pounds higher.
May Prevail, Will Place
The 8pm is a fascinating heat as it contains Hazel Bay, a once raced, highly promising filly of Dermot Weld’s who hasn’t been seen since April of last year when coming 2nd to Mary Tudor in a listed race on debut with Princess Yaiza and Sizzling back in 3rd and 4th. If the half sister of Youmzain runs within a stone of that she wins.
Failing that May Peace Prevail was well fancied on debut at the end of last year and finished a respectable 2nd behind The Game of Life. He carried his head a little awkwardly in the straight but we’ll forgive that for his first run. Colin Keane is booked and the Dragon Pulse colt from stall one shouldn’t be out of the first three for each way punters and be a good option for forecast players in this 10f maiden.
Snow Patch 5.00 10/1
Kante 5.30 10/1
Lappet 6.30 3/1
Lusis Naturea 7.30 66/1
May Peace Prevail 8.00 4/1