Cheltenham Handicaps: Ten-year Stats And Trends

The Cheltenham Festival is finally upon us, it's time for our writers to nail their colours to the mast

Will Reilly takes a look at Cheltenham Festival stats for the handicaps based on the last ten years

Ultima Handicap Chase

Tuesday March 12th, 2:50pm

3m1f, Old Course

Just 2 winning favourites in the last 10 and 4 of the last 10 winners have been priced at bigger than 10/1 (11/1, 28/1, 14/1 and 33/1)

David Pipe has won 2 of the last 3 – Un Temps Pour Tout (2016 and 2017)

5 of the last 8 winners have carried 11st2lb or more

Ages – one 6yo – two 7yos – five 8yos – one 8yo – one 9yo

Ireland has not won this race in the last ten years

Close Brothers Novices’ H’cap Chase

Tuesday March 12th, 4:50pm

2m4f, Old Course

Just one winning favourite in the last 10 (Hunt Ball, 2012)

Ireland has won it once in the last ten years (Tully East, 2017)

Apart from Rajdhani Express (16/1, 2013), all winners in the last 10 years have been priced between 13/2 and 12/1

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Coral Cup

Wed March 13th, 2:50pm

2m5f, Old Course

No winning favourite in the last 10 years

Ireland has won 5 of the last 10, including the last 3 – Bleu Berry, Supasundae and Diamond King

Gordon Elliott has won 2 of the last 8

Apart from 2015 (Aux Ptit Soins, 9/1), the winner has been priced at between 12/1 and 33/1, with 8 of the 10 being 16/1 or bigger

7 of the 10 carried 11st or more to victory

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Fred Winter Juvenile H’cap Hurdle

Wednesday March 13th, 4:50pm

2m87y, Old Course

Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 4 and 3 of the last 8 runnings of the race; he’s also had 4 seconds, a fourth and the first and second in the race twice (2015 and 2016)

Just one winning favourite in the last 10  – Sanctuaire (4/1, 2010, who became a Grade 2 winner)

5 of the last 6 winners were 25/1 or bigger

The last 5 winners carried 11st or more

Ireland has won 3 of the last 8, with Gordon Elliott winning 2 of the last 6 (at 25/1 and 33/1)

Pertemps Final

Thursday March 14th, 2:10pm

3 miles, New Course

One winning fav in the last 10

Ireland has won the last 3 runnings of race, which are their only wins in the last 10 years

The last 2 winners have been Delta Work and Presenting Percy!

6 of the last 10 winners were priced at 14/1 or bigger, 4 of the last 10 were 16/1 or bigger

However, the last 5 have been priced at 6/1, 11/1, 14/1, 9/1, 9/2f

4 of the last 6 have been aged 6yo

One out of the last 10 winners was a 5yo, last year (Delta Work)

7 of the 10 winners carried 10st12lb or less

Brown Advisory H’cap Chase

Thursday March 14th, 4:10pm

2m4f127y, New Course

2 winning favourites in the last 10, including The Storyteller last year (5/1f) for Gordon Elliott, who carried 11st4lb to victory

Ireland has won in each of the last 3 years

7 of the last 10 winners have been priced at 16/1 or bigger

Age range of winners, 6 to 10yo

9 out of the 10 winners carried 10st13lb or less

Fulke Walwyn/Kim Muir Amateur Riders’ H’cap Chase

Thursday March 14th, 5:30pm

3m2f, New Course

Jockey Jamie Codd has won 2 of the last 4 and 4 of the last 10; he also finished third last year

2 winning favourites in the last 10 years, the latest being Sunnyhillboy (2012) although just 1 of the 10 was priced at bigger than 16/1 and 5 of the 10 were 9/1 or shorter

2 winners from Ireland in last 10 – Cause Of Causes, 2016, 9/2, Gordon Elliott and Spring Heeled, 2014, 12/1, Jim Culloty

County Hurdle

Friday March 15, 2:10pm

2m1f, New Course

The last two winners have been 33/1 (Mohaayed) and Arctic Fire (20/1)

Ireland has won 6 of the last 10 – Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 9 – Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 10 – Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 3

Age of the last 10 winners – four 5yos, four 6yos and two 8yos

Some very good horses have won the race in the last 10 years – Arctic Fire, Wicklow Brave and Thousand Stars

Six of the last 10 winners have been 20/1 or bigger

4 of the last 10 carried 11st or more to victory

‘Johnny Henderson’

Friday March 15th, 4:50pm

2m1/2f, New Course

Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 3 – Ireland has won 3 of the last 6

6 of the last 10 have returned at 16/1 or bigger

One winning-favs in the last 10 – the heavily-backed Alderwood (Tom Mullins/AP McCoy, 2013)

It’s a race that Nicky Henderson likes to win, given that it’s named after his father – he last won it 2012 (Bellvano/Paul Carberry), but Theinval was fourth in the race for him last year (rated 141) and third the year before (rated 141). He’s now rated 142.

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Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys H’cap Hurdle

Friday March 15th, 5:30pm

2m4f56y, New Course

No winning favourite since Sir des Champs in 2011 (9/2)

Gordon Elliott has won the last two (11/1 and 12/1)

Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 6 – Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 5 and 3 of the last 8

Winning SPs in last 10 renewals (most-recent first) – 11/1, 12/1, 14/1, 7/1, 12/1, 16/1, 20/1, 9/2f, 14/1 and 25/1

Nine of the last 10 have been won by a 5yo or 6yo, the exception being last year, Blow By Blow, who was seven

Conditional jockeys based in Ireland have won three of the last four runnings of the race



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