Will Reilly takes a look at Cheltenham Festival stats for the handicaps based on the last ten years
Ultima Handicap Chase
Tuesday March 12th, 2:50pm
3m1f, Old Course
Just 2 winning favourites in the last 10 and 4 of the last 10 winners have been priced at bigger than 10/1 (11/1, 28/1, 14/1 and 33/1)
David Pipe has won 2 of the last 3 – Un Temps Pour Tout (2016 and 2017)
5 of the last 8 winners have carried 11st2lb or more
Ages – one 6yo – two 7yos – five 8yos – one 8yo – one 9yo
Ireland has not won this race in the last ten years
The Ultima Handicap Chase is on the agenda for Willie Boy.
“He was going well when he fell last year and he is potentially well-handicapped,” says Charlie Longsdon. #CheltenhamFestival
— Racing TV (@RacingTV) February 27, 2019
Close Brothers Novices’ H’cap Chase
Tuesday March 12th, 4:50pm
2m4f, Old Course
Just one winning favourite in the last 10 (Hunt Ball, 2012)
Ireland has won it once in the last ten years (Tully East, 2017)
Apart from Rajdhani Express (16/1, 2013), all winners in the last 10 years have been priced between 13/2 and 12/1
The @CheltenhamRaces Festival Weights for:
🏆 £110,000 Ultima Handicap Chase
🏆 £70,000 Close Brothers Novices’ Handicap Chase pic.twitter.com/fTeKCgntf0
— Racenews (@RacenewsService) February 27, 2019
Nothing whets the appetite like a good trailer. Here’s one from Cheltenham 2018
Coral Cup
Wed March 13th, 2:50pm
2m5f, Old Course
No winning favourite in the last 10 years
Ireland has won 5 of the last 10, including the last 3 – Bleu Berry, Supasundae and Diamond King
Gordon Elliott has won 2 of the last 8
Apart from 2015 (Aux Ptit Soins, 9/1), the winner has been priced at between 12/1 and 33/1, with 8 of the 10 being 16/1 or bigger
7 of the 10 carried 11st or more to victory
Fred Winter Juvenile H’cap Hurdle
Wednesday March 13th, 4:50pm
2m87y, Old Course
Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 4 and 3 of the last 8 runnings of the race; he’s also had 4 seconds, a fourth and the first and second in the race twice (2015 and 2016)
Just one winning favourite in the last 10 – Sanctuaire (4/1, 2010, who became a Grade 2 winner)
5 of the last 6 winners were 25/1 or bigger
The last 5 winners carried 11st or more
Ireland has won 3 of the last 8, with Gordon Elliott winning 2 of the last 6 (at 25/1 and 33/1)
Pertemps Final
Thursday March 14th, 2:10pm
3 miles, New Course
One winning fav in the last 10
Ireland has won the last 3 runnings of race, which are their only wins in the last 10 years
The last 2 winners have been Delta Work and Presenting Percy!
6 of the last 10 winners were priced at 14/1 or bigger, 4 of the last 10 were 16/1 or bigger
However, the last 5 have been priced at 6/1, 11/1, 14/1, 9/1, 9/2f
4 of the last 6 have been aged 6yo
One out of the last 10 winners was a 5yo, last year (Delta Work)
7 of the 10 winners carried 10st12lb or less
Brown Advisory H’cap Chase
Thursday March 14th, 4:10pm
2m4f127y, New Course
2 winning favourites in the last 10, including The Storyteller last year (5/1f) for Gordon Elliott, who carried 11st4lb to victory
Ireland has won in each of the last 3 years
7 of the last 10 winners have been priced at 16/1 or bigger
Age range of winners, 6 to 10yo
9 out of the 10 winners carried 10st13lb or less
Fulke Walwyn/Kim Muir Amateur Riders’ H’cap Chase
Thursday March 14th, 5:30pm
3m2f, New Course
Jockey Jamie Codd has won 2 of the last 4 and 4 of the last 10; he also finished third last year
2 winning favourites in the last 10 years, the latest being Sunnyhillboy (2012) although just 1 of the 10 was priced at bigger than 16/1 and 5 of the 10 were 9/1 or shorter
2 winners from Ireland in last 10 – Cause Of Causes, 2016, 9/2, Gordon Elliott and Spring Heeled, 2014, 12/1, Jim Culloty
County Hurdle
Friday March 15, 2:10pm
2m1f, New Course
The last two winners have been 33/1 (Mohaayed) and Arctic Fire (20/1)
Ireland has won 6 of the last 10 – Willie Mullins has won 4 of the last 9 – Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 10 – Dan Skelton has won 2 of the last 3
Age of the last 10 winners – four 5yos, four 6yos and two 8yos
Some very good horses have won the race in the last 10 years – Arctic Fire, Wicklow Brave and Thousand Stars
Six of the last 10 winners have been 20/1 or bigger
4 of the last 10 carried 11st or more to victory
‘Johnny Henderson’
Friday March 15th, 4:50pm
2m1/2f, New Course
Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 3 – Ireland has won 3 of the last 6
6 of the last 10 have returned at 16/1 or bigger
One winning-favs in the last 10 – the heavily-backed Alderwood (Tom Mullins/AP McCoy, 2013)
It’s a race that Nicky Henderson likes to win, given that it’s named after his father – he last won it 2012 (Bellvano/Paul Carberry), but Theinval was fourth in the race for him last year (rated 141) and third the year before (rated 141). He’s now rated 142.
Martin Pipe Conditional Jockeys H’cap Hurdle
Friday March 15th, 5:30pm
2m4f56y, New Course
No winning favourite since Sir des Champs in 2011 (9/2)
Gordon Elliott has won the last two (11/1 and 12/1)
Paul Nicholls has won 2 of the last 6 – Willie Mullins has won 2 of the last 5 and 3 of the last 8
Winning SPs in last 10 renewals (most-recent first) – 11/1, 12/1, 14/1, 7/1, 12/1, 16/1, 20/1, 9/2f, 14/1 and 25/1
Nine of the last 10 have been won by a 5yo or 6yo, the exception being last year, Blow By Blow, who was seven
Conditional jockeys based in Ireland have won three of the last four runnings of the race