The 1st of January, a happy birthday to all those magnificent beasts who provide us with entertainment all year round. I’m hopeful the following horses don’t feel their age today and enjoy a successful trip to the races on their anniversary.
The nap on the card at Cheltenham’s New Year’s Day meeting is Lostintranslation. He runs in the 1.25pm, the Grade 2 Dipper Novices’ Chase. Lostintranslation only really came on my radar when a big eye-catcher in last year’s Supreme Novices Hurdle. The strong travelling Colin Tizzard gelding then was a cracking 2nd in Aintree to Black Op.
I’m hopeful he can reverse that form with chase experience and being a better horse over fences. This season he was defeated twice by La Bague au Roi. We’ve since learnt on St Stephen’s Day that there is no shame in that. La Bague au Roi posting the best piece of novice chase form in Britain so far in disposing of Topofthegame and Santini.
Lostintranslation jumped beautifully on both chase starts except for one monumental error on chase debut 3 out, which cost him at least 2nd and broke the fence in the process. Robbie Power is one of the best pilot’s to get horses jumping at their best and I hope it all comes together today over what looks an ideal stiff two and a half miles.
The Star of 2019 on Racing TV
Rachael Blackmore is set to be the star of 2019 on Irish racing’s new provider, Racing TV. I think the crack jumps jockey has a big chance to take the feature at Tramore today. The 2 mile four furlongs trip and forgiving the last run of Sub Lieutenant are the key reasons why I think he’s overpriced in the Savill’s Chase, the 2.20pm.
Al Boum Photo looks the best horse in the race. He should have won his last two races, two Grade 1’s only for a Black Swan moment when Paul Townend pulled him round the last fence at Punchestown. He is favourite however and has to defy a 252 day absence, surely there will be bigger days for the Mullins runner so I think can be opposed today. Sub Lieutenant however has two runs at Galway in the summer and two recently. The 10 year old was very good in Galway and Punchestown. Local to Tramore Henry de Bromhead will be treating this as his Gold Cup and Sub Lieutenant can hopefully make all in a race where there are doubts about many in the field.
What have we just witnessed? Huge drama at @punchestownrace as Al Boum Photo runs out with seemingly the race at his mercy. Did Townend get a shout?
— GetYourTipsOut (@GetYourTipsOut) April 24, 2018
Total Recall may have been placed in last’s years Gold Cup only for falling, but has pulled up twice since and is on a retrieval mission. With the dead 8 runners and fitness on his side, Sub Lieutenant looks a fine each way bet.
Se Mo Laoch is a boring and predictable selection in the 3.15pm at Fairyhouse, the 3m1f Racing TV Handicap Chase. The name means He’s my hero in English. He has to defy a 7 pounds rise for his win last time out and a 5 pounds swing with Cresus De Grissay. I think that’s manageable though as the Brian McMahon gelding is fierce progressive and has a likeable way of going.
Cresus De Grissay doesn’t inspire with a high head carriage to reverse the form. Major Destination ran in the Baroneracing.com Porterstown Chase here last time out, but that form has been knocked a few times since. Lacken Bridge would be a danger but ran out last time and looks a bit of a thinker. Kilkishen has a highlight reel of falls and bad errors so can’t be trusted yet. Se Mo Laoch is solid in a race of question marks.
A Stone Swing
The Horsechsnut has a 14 pounds swing with Rocky’s Silver in the last at Tramore, the 3.30pm for a 4.5 length defeat last time out at this track. The Horsechesnut was wide round the home bend and stayed on for 2nd when Rocky’s Silver was out and gone. A stone is a lot of weight at this level, or any level over 2 miles 5 furlongs and I hope enough to reverse the form today. Rocky’s Silver also loses the service of a 5 pound claimer.
The Horsechesnut’s 2nd was his first good run in an age for his new trainer David M O’Brien and I hope this renewed vigour can hold. The 11 year old has some back form however winning over hurdles and in a point to point. This is a bad race; the recent course form and help in weights with the favourite is enough in my mind to think The Horsechesnut is a fair each way bet.
Happy New Year and..
Please Gamble Responsibly. When the fun stops, as the ad goes, stop. I used to find that I’d be undisciplined and chase if my first few bets of the New Year were losers. I had this ridiculous notion I needed to finish in front for the day, the 1st of January. The last race today is the same as the first tomorrow. Most of all enjoy the sport.
Lostintranslation 1.25pm Cheltenham
Sub Lieutenant 2.20pm Tramore
Se Mo Laoch 3.15pm Fairyhouse
The Horsechesnut 3.30pm Tramore