Napoli v PSG, Champions League

Lorenzo Insigne looks likely to trouble a flaky PSG defence

Napoli v PSG, Champions League, Tue 6th November, BT Sport 3

Form:

Both sides enter this enticing European dust-up with fine domestic form.

In Ligue 1, PSG have been untouchable – played 12, won 12, with a goal difference of +34.

In contrast, Carlo Ancelotti and Napoli have been met with far firmer challenges in Serie A – played 11, won 8, drawn 1, and lost 2, with a goal difference of just +12.

See Bar One Racing’s Napoli v PSG betting here

PSG have scored a ludicrous 22 goals and conceded just four in their last six games.

Though you wouldn’t know it to look at their Champions League table. The French champions have dropped points away to Livepool (a 3-2 defeat) and at home to tonight’s opponents (a 2-2 draw).

A defeat here could spell major trouble for the Parisians who aspire to European domination as opposed to survival.

Napoli’s form in the last six has been positive, the highlights being in this competition, with a 1-0 win over Liverpool and that draw away to PSG.

The Match:

It’s easy to get carried away looking at Thomas Tuchel’s side on paper. How can any team survive the attacking potency of MbappĂ©, Neymar, and Cavani?

While they’re always dangerous with these players on the pitch, PSG lack nous and consistency in the face of stern challenges.

They’ve conceded five goals to their principle Group C opponents. And if they were to repeat the feat of only one point from both games, they’d surely find themselves dragging their feet through the Europa League in the New Year.

Napoli are undefeated at home so far this season. The fact that they nullified Liverpool’s much-vaunted attacking threat bodes well for their meeting with Neymar and co.

Whatever you say about PSG’s inconsistency in Europe, you have to accept their games consistently involve goals. The over 2.5 goals totals would have been a winner in every game but one this season.

Likewise but less so with Napoli, just four of their 14 games this season has ended with less than 2.5 goals.

It’s hard to see this game playing out as a controlled affair by either side.

Team News:

PSG will bring Gianluigi Buffon back into the European fold. The Italian veteran has seen out the last of a three game ban incurred in last year’s semi final. Presnel Kimpembe is expected to rejoin the back three after missing their Ligue 1 fixture against Lille at the weekend due to domestic suspension.

Tuchel’s biggest concern is the fitness of Edinson Cavani. The Uruguayan is hoping to recover on time to at least make the bench against a side he scored 104 goals for in 138 appearances. Dani Alves and Laywin Kurzawa are ruled out of the game.

Napoli will be without the services of Vlad Chriches (ligament damage) and Amin Younes (achilles). Beyond these two, Ancelotti’s charges are in rude health.

See Bar One Racing’s goal scorer markets here

Verdict:

Napoli look a very big price in the match-bet so let’s start there at 13/8.

Thereafter, considering 83 per cent of PSG and Napoli’s games combined have produced over 2.5 goals I’m going for Napoli to win and there to be over 2.5 goals in the game at 23/10.

Finally, Bar One Racing are doubling the odds of your first goalscorer bets if your selection get a second goal.

Hit the link above the verdict to see our first goal scorer betting – I’m looking at Lorenzo Insigne at 11/2. He’s scored two from three in Europe and is Napoli’s top scorer this season with nine.

 



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