An eight race card this evening. Standard but competitive fare.
Form is starting to settle down for the winter ahead. The flat turf season finished on Sunday at Naas so there’s only one place for flat racing until the spring.
Horses who’ve caught the eye recently at Dundalk appeal tonight as being value. Let’s hope we can find a winner or two.
Captain to Claim Power
The first race is a claiming race and is a dreadful standard in truth, many of the performers are out of form. Adjusting ratings for the claiming price leaves Captain Power 8 pounds clear here of his nearest rival.
That’s 8 pounds clear of the out of form Seanie, 10 clear of Piper Bomb. Eddie Lynam’s Captain Power is 17 pounds clear on adjusted ratings of the somewhat in form Eacharn. Joseph O’Brien has new recruit Marylebone to be claimed cheaply but surely even he can’t work his magic after only being purchased less than a fortnight ago.
While Captain Power isn’t in great form, hence priced cheaply in a claimer, he is drawn in stall one and should be too good for these in the opener at 5.30pm.
Jarrocho to Reach his Potential
David Marnane’s Jarrocho has come for support in the market the last few times he’s ran but has disappointed. The strong travelling colt flew home in Naas three starts ago in his first handicap off a pound higher in 3rd over 5f. Since then in Cork and Dundalk Jarrocho hasn’t had the strong pace necessary to thrive off.
He flashed home when it was all over in Cork. Was tight for room early last time in Dundalk when the pace was pedestrian, lost his position and got no room a furlong out again when making ground and was heavily eased.
The 2 year old by Requinto remains well handicapped in my opinion and a forgivable recent poor run makes him overpriced in the 6pm.
Waitaki Worth the Wait
Another horse who needs a good pace to come off and may get it tonight. Waitaki recorded the fastest closing 3f sectional in her run twelve days ago here. That was off a slow pace after breaking poorly.
She was a good 2nd in Cork three starts ago showing her well being and reasonably handicapped. Two starts ago Waitaki was hampered after a furlong, lost her place and challenged down the inner in the straight. Evidence this year suggests challenging down the inside may not be optimal.
There seems to be pace in the 7pm and hopefully Dermot McLoughlin’s mare can break well from a kind stall in three and finish off best.
Descendant is a big danger. While he was disappointing here last week as my selection, he was only beaten 2.5 lengths and is dropped a pound is what is arguably a lesser race, the 7pm.
Stealth is the selection in the 7.30pm and would be my next best at the prices. The three year old gelding trained by Anthony McCann was unlucky here last week. He was supported in the market at big prices and it looked justified. He is drawn one tonight.
Two starts ago Stealth went a mad gallop mid race that saw him with no chance of finishing out his race. Stealth can race lazily but was finishing off really well last week behind Russian Campaign when totally stopped for his run at the business end and was heavily eased. A 4.5 length beating in 8th does not tell the whole story, 3rd or 4th beaten less than a couple of lengths was probably at least what could have been achieved.
Stealth had to switch outside a runner 1.5f down, then was struck with the whip by another jockey at the furlong pole when racing room was tight before eventually hitting a wall 75 yards out. Stealth is still a maiden and that’s a worry but the price here is generous enough that hitting the frame would be profitable each way.
One more Chance
The talented but frustrating Brokopondo is down to a near career low mark in the last race this evening. The Johnny Levins’ trained gelding is often slow away and finishes off with a rattle, a theme of those I’ve selected this evening. While well beaten behind Rips Dream last Friday, they crawled in the early part of the race and flew home, he ran ok in the circumstances.
Brokopondo is not drawn well but will be held up and head for the inner after a likely slow start. A mark of 57 looks really tempting for a horse who has won off 19 pounds higher here, only last year. He is 6 years old, it’s not as if he should be finished.
In Brokopondo’s last seven runs at Dundalk he’s been a double figure price with no success. 8 starts ago here he went off 7/1 and won off a mark of 76. I predict he shortens to a single figure price today in a lowly affair where the top rated horse is 60. Buoyed by a rare winner this season for the stable last Friday, it is not unreasonable think that it will come together for the enigma Brokopondo tonight.
Captain Power 11/8