It’s all wins for Liverpool and PSG. Liverpool are enjoying their strongest start to a Premier League season since it’s inception in 1992. Five outings, five victories including last weekend’s impressive disposal of Tottenham Hotspur. Those wins have seen 11 goals scored, with eight of those spread across their famed front three.
For PSG, their league form is even more impressive. Taken with the qualifier that Ligue 1 lacks competition, their 17 goals in five games is remarkable. Kylian Mbappé and Neymar are their joint-top scorers with four each.
Liverpool’s attack versus that of PSG’s. This is the headline dynamic no question. The front three of both sides are revered and feared in Europe and with good cause.
Liverpool averaged 3.15 goals per game in the Champions League last season, and PSG were the only side to outscore them in the group stages.
It is important however, to apply context to these records. PSG had Bayern Munich, Celtic, and Anderlecht for company. Liverpool had it even easier with Sevilla, Spartak Moscow, and Maribor populating their group.
This season they meet in what is fairly described as this season’s group of death with Napoli and Red Star Belgrade joining these two outright fancies. If either side to rack up similar numbers this season, it will frank their reputation as the best attacking teams on the continent.
However it’s an improving Liverpool defence under Jurgen Klopp that can bring them closer to silverware this season. Especially since the arrival of Virgil van Dijk in January, Alisson Becker over the summer and the use of Andrew Robertson over Alberto Moreno at left back. Likewise, recently appointed PSG manager Thomas Tuchel has gone to the market for defensive reinforcements, signing German defender Thilo Kehrer for €37m from Shalke 04, and Spain’s Juan Bernat from Bayern Munich.
Goals are obviously still likely but the score-fest that many expect may not come to pass.
Roberto Firmino’s participation is in doubt after picking up an eye injury over the weekend. Confirmed as being absent for Liverpool are Dominic Solanke and Divock Origi while Dejan Lovren, Adam Lallana and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain are expected to remain sidelined too.
Kylian Mbappé and Neymar are set to return after being rested at the weekend, Marco Verratti is suspended, as is Gianluigi Buffon following his red card for Juventus in the semi-final last season. Layvin Kurzawa and Dani Alves are long term absentees.
With the danger both sides pose it’s hard to see clean sheets for either side. That being said, there’s value in considering a tighter game with less than 2.5 goals.
These sides are difficult enough to seperate paper, PSG would edge things squad-wsie. but the Anfield factor must be respected.
The draw and under 2.5 at a price of 9/2 is the shout here.
A straight under 2.5 goals comes in a price of 6/4 and I wouldn’t put anyone off that.